Transcript
"Donald Trump has become the first American President"
"to have been convicted for a crime."
"He will be sentenced on 26th November."
"But can it be"
"that after winning an election,"
"a president might have to go to jail?"
"Trump's biggest cause has been illegal immigration."
"But as President,"
"not only illegal,"
"he will disrupt legal immigration too."
"Hundreds and thousands of Indians live in the US on H-1B visa."
"But he considers H-1B visa wrong and unfair."
"There are news reports already that Trump's policies"
"will affect more than 1 million Indians"
"who are waiting for the Green Card."
Hello, friends!
In the recent American presidential elections,
Donald Trump has achieved a historical victory.
Not only is Donald Trump
going to be the US President again,
but his Republican Party
is going to be forming the majority in both
the American House of Representatives and the Senate.
"Breaking news, we are projecting at this hour
the 47th President of the United States
Donald Trump,
will be elected to return to the White House."
Apart from this, this will be the first time in 20 years,
where a President from the Republican Party
will win the popular vote of the public.
Popular vote means a majority in vote share.
A higher percentage of Americans
voted for Donald Trump
rather than Kamala Harris.
It may sound weird but
the American political system is designed in a way that
many times, one candidate gets the majority vote share
but another candidate becomes the President.
This happened in the 2016 elections too,
when Hillary Clinton received 2.8 million more votes than Donald Trump.
Look at the vote share percentage.
Hillary Clinton got 48.2%
and Donald Trump received 46.1% votes.
But still, Donald Trump won that election,
and became the President.
How is this possible?
Let's understand this strange American political system
and find out what will be the impact of Donald Trump becoming
the President again on India and the rest of the world.
In India, elections are held every 5 years.
And the Election Commission decides the date of the elections.
But in America, this process is repeated every 4 years.
On a fixed date.
Every 4 years, on the first Tuesday of November,
Americans go out to vote for their President.
On this day, not only do they vote to elect their President,
but also their House of Representatives and Senate.
The House of Representatives is the Lower House in America,
same as the Lok Sabha in India.
And the Senate is the Upper House,
like the Rajya Sabha.
In short, they are known as the House and Senate.
On one hand, the people directly vote in the Lok Sabha elections in India,
but do not elect the members of the Rajya Sabha directly.
On the other hand, in the USA,
the members of both the House and the Senate
are directly elected by the people.
These elections are held every two years.
The members of the Senate, known as the Senators,
have a term of 6 years.
So, all of them aren't elected together.
Every 2 years, one-third Senators are elected.
For example, this year, 34 Senators were to be elected.
So, on the day of the election,
most of the world thinks that Americans vote only for their President.
But in reality,
they cast three votes.
First, to elect their President.
Second, to elect their House Representative.
And third, to elect their Senator.
The process for the three elections is different.
First, let's look at their House.
There are a total of 435 seats in the House.
Seats are allocated to each State according to its population.
For example, New York gets 26 seats,
And states like Alaska and Montana
get only 1 or 2 seats,
even though these states are much bigger in size than New York.
Because the population is considered, not the land area.
Montana has about 1.1 million people,
and New York has a population of almost 20 million.
The House elections are quite direct.
Every state is divided into multiple districts
and the voters of each district
choose one representative.
The candidates campaign at local level
and talk about local issues.
Eventually, the candidate with the most votes in each district wins.
This is not unusual
and it does not affect the presidential election.
People can vote for candidates from different parties for the three elections.
Before the 2024 elections,
Republicans had 222 seats in the House,
and Democrats had 213.
Republicans already had a majority
because in the elections 2 years ago,
the 2022 elections,
the Republican Party had won more seats.
In these elections,
the Republican Party is getting a majority again.
The counting is still going on,
so the exact numbers cannot be predicted.
It takes several days to finish the counting.
Now, coming to the Senate,
there are 100 members in total.
Two Senators are elected from every state in America.
There is no population criteria for this.
There are 50 states in America.
So 50 times 2,
100 members.
Simple calculation.
Before the 2024 elections,
the Democrats had a majority of 51-49 in the Senate.
But recently, after the 2024 elections,
the majority has now been reversed
and the Republicans have a majority here as well.
And this majority
is very important for any political party.
Because, friends, it is the Senate that has the power
to appoint federal judges and Supreme Court justices.
Although the judiciary should be truly independent from the political system,
but for the past few years,
there has been a lot of controversy in America
that the Republican Party has appointed its people to the Supreme Court
and because of that, such decisions are being passed.
The Right to Abortion was a constitutional right for women living in America
but after the Supreme Court ruling in 2022
this was taken away from women.
This judgement meant that
in many American states,
women weren't allowed to get an abortion.
Apart from this, the Senate also has the power to pass bills.
If a law is to be made in America,
it needs to be passed in both the House and the Senate.
Just like in India,
where a law can be made only after it was passed in Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha both.
Now, let's come to the Presidential Elections,
the most well-known elections in America.
Being the American President is the most powerful position in America,
it can be equated with
the Prime Minister's position in India.
The only difference here is that India has a parliamentary system,
so the winning party in Lok Sabha elections
later elects the Prime Minister.
It means that, technically, we don't vote for the PM candidate.
For example, in the 2004 elections,
when Congress led UPA won,
no one knew that Dr Manmohan Singh would become India's Prime Minister.
But for the past few years,
Indian elections are becoming like this.
Where people are voting for a party's leader,
Prime Minister candidate or Chief Ministerial candidate.
In America, people choose their president by voting for a presidential candidate.
But there is a twist in the story.
Technically, this vote
is not a direct vote for the American president.
Rather, the votes are cast through Electors.
A body of electors, called the Electoral College,
eventually goes and elects the President.
Even though the President and Vice President
candidates' names are printed on the ballot paper,
and yes, even today, most states use ballots for their elections,
in reality, people vote for those electors
who will be loyal to the party.
There are 538 Electors in America.
And every state has a defined number of electors.
Some states have more electors,
some states have fewer electors.
This depends on the state's population.
Actually, the number of electors
is the number of members in the House of Representatives
plus the number of Senators in the state.
So basically, the number of House members plus two
is the number of electors.
For example, take Texas.
Texas has 38 House Representatives
and 2 Senators.
So, the number of electors is
38 + 2 = 40.
Since there are 538 electors,
for a presidential candidate to win,
they need to cross the halfway mark.
270 electoral votes.
Here comes the strangest part about these presidential elections,
the winner-takes-all system.
In a state,
the entire state,
the presidential candidate who gets the most votes,
all the electors of that state
will vote for that candidate.
For example, if we look at Texas,
there are 40 electors.
Suppose Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a face-off,
Kamala Harris gets 50.01% of the votes in the state
and Donald Trump gets 49.99% of the votes.
There is a slight difference in votes.
But because of this 0.02%,
all 40 electoral votes from Texas
will go to Kamala Harris.
This is why we might see situations
where a presidential candidate might get more vote share across the country,
but they may still lose the election,
because the electoral votes went to the other candidate.
Now, a huge downside of this system is that
in some states, a political party
may be preferred more by some people
in a 55-45 ratio,
or even a 60-40 ratio,
then in such cases, the parties start taking the state for granted.
After 1988,
there have been about 20 states
that have consistently voted for the same party.
On this map, you can see that
the states on the East Coast and the West Coast
are shown in blue
because these states generally almost always vote for the Democrat Party.
And the states in the middle
are shown in red because
they usually, almost always, vote for the Republican Party.
7 states are such that since 1988,
they have always voted for the Democratic Presidential candidates
and 13 states have always voted for the Republican Presidential candidates.
These states are considered the Safe States.
And the remaining few states
where the competition is actually tough
are known as the Swing States.
Because they can swing in any direction.
They can change the election results with even a small margin of vote.
In the 2020 elections, in 7 states,
where the winning margin was 3% or less.
In these elections, these states were considered the Swing States.
Arizona, Georgia, Michigan,
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Nevada.
Since the election results depend the most on these swing states,
both presidential candidates
spend most of their time campaigning in these states.
Most of their campaigns focus on these states.
And the rest of the states are almost ignored.
In my opinion, this is a big downside of the American election system.
Think about it, if you live in a safe state,
your vote won't matter much.
No matter which party you vote for,
your state will always favour a specified party.
On the other hand, the votes cast by voters in a few states,
outweigh others by so much that
it is their votes that decide the election results.
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And now, let's get back to this election.
A day before the election,
Donald Trump was shown to be ahead by 1.8% in swing states
in comparison to Kamala Harris.
Whereas, in the mid-October Reuters poll,
Kamala Harris was leading by 1% in the country.
Looking at all this, the general expectation was that
this would be a close competition.
But, in the end, it wasn't a close competition,
because Donald Trump won all the 7 swing states in this election.
Now, the process isn't over after merely winning the election.
Moving forward, in mid-December,
the electors will vote
to elect their President and Vice President.
In early January, these votes will be sent to the Parliament for counting.
In America, Parliament is called Congress.
So, these votes will be sent to the US Congress to be counted.
And the members of the House and the Senate will count these.
And then on 20th January,
Donald Trump will become the new American President.
That's how it happens.
Even during the 2020 election,
If might remember the controversy during the counting back then.
On 6th January 2021,
when the Congress was counting the votes of the Electors,
Approximately 2,000 Trump supporters
breached and entered the Capitol building.
Donald Trump's supporters then wrecked havoc.
Many police officers were also assaulted.
This was seen as a black day for American democracy.
But recently when Donald Trump was asked about this day,
he said that he considers this day a 'Day of Love.'
Fortunately, we can hope that we won't see such riots in January this time.
But the next question is,
how will Donald Trump's presidency
impact India and the rest of the world?
The first interesting thing will be to see,
if and how Donald Trump would be punished.
You might remember that some time ago,
Donald Trump became the first convicted President in American history.
I had talked about it in this video,
detailing the court case against him.
The judgement was passed in May 2024,
where Donald Trump was found guilty on 34 different felony counts.
This crime was of falsifying business records
in the hush money case.
You can get the details in this video.
Originally, the punishment was to be passed in September
outlining Donald Trump's punishment
whether he'd go to jail or not.
But on the day of hearing in September,
the judge said that they would get back to it after the election.
The next date is 26th November,
when Trump's sentence would be read out.
So it will be interesting to see
whether Donald Trump can be jailed or not.
If yes, then does he have the power to pardon himself as the President?
And if he does that,
how will it impact his reputation
and America's reputation as a country?
The second interesting thing here is that
both presidential candidates had a connection with India.
Kamala Harris's mother was from Tamil Nadu
and Trump's Vice Presidential nominee,
JD Vance,
his wife Usha Vance's family is from Andhra Pradesh.
During the campaign, one of Donald Trump's major issues was Illegal Immigration.
He promised to put a stop to illegal immigration
He claimed that during Joe Biden's administration,
illegal immigration to America had increased on a large scale.
"On Day 1, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history."
Last year alone,
about 1,100 illegal immigrants were sent back to India.
These people often went the Dunki way
to get to America illegally.
I talked about the Dunki way in detail in this video.
But even for legal immigration,
Donald Trump doesn't favour that either.
Between 2016 to 2020
when Trump was the President,
his administration took steps
which made it difficult for the US companies to get H-1B visas.
This is a 3-year temporary work visa for employees
which can be extended for 6 years.
Many skilled Indian workers
work in America on this visa.
In fact, look at 2023 data,
out of all H-1B approvals,
72.3% approvals were for Indians.
Under Trump's government,
the rate of visa rejections had increased exponentially.
Look at this report,
In 2016, the H-1B rejection rate was around 6%.
And by 2018, it had reached 24%.
Additionally, Trump had raised the application costs,
and made the process more complicated.
Donald Trump has been very open about this.
He called H-1B a theft of American prosperity.
If American citizens and permanent residents
want to bring their family members to America,
then the time taken for family reunification
can get longer under Trump's administration.
Kamala Harris promised the opposite.
She talked about simplifying legal immigration
and to bring reforms for family reunification.
It's also being reported that
under the new regime,
the automatic citizenship granted to children born in the US,
will soon end.
The next big issue is the economy and inflation,
this was the most popular issue during Trump's campaign.
He has promised to reduce inflation.
"When we go tomorrow,
I will end inflation,
I will stop the invasion of criminals coming into our country."
And at the same time,
he has also voiced concerns about the high tariffs
imposed on American products imported into India.
He had asked India to reduce tariffs on Harley-Davidson bikes.
His supporters expect Donald Trump
to push the America First strategy.
He can impose penalties on those countries
who impose high taxes on American products and services.
On the other hand, Kamala Harris did not state a clear-cut trade strategy.
But during Joe Biden's administration,
the bilateral trade between India and America grew a lot.
This was quite favourable for India.
Things being in India's favour from trade perspective means that
we export more goods to America
and import fewer American goods into our country.
This was the scenario for the last 4 years.
Between the financial year 2020 to 2024,
the merchandise exports of India to America
saw a 46% increase
it reached up to $77.5 billion.
While India's imports from America
increased only 17.9%
and reached $42.2 billion.
In the last three years, the trade deficit was on India's side.
It increased from $13.3 billion to $25.9 billion.
In 2018, the previous Trump administration
imposed 25% tariffs on steel and 10% tariffs on aluminium.
Tariffs are taxes
imposed by the importing country on imported goods.
Because of these tariffs,
both these Indian sectors suffered heavy losses.
The steel sector suffered a loss of around $240 million.
This tariff dispute was resolved in 2023
when Joe Biden was in power.
And 70% of the steel tariffs imposed by the Trump administration
and 80% of the aluminium tariffs
was slashed by the Biden administration.
Will Donald Trump do the same again?
We'll have to wait and watch.
Because during his campaigns, Donald Trump has said that
he wants to impose a 20% tariff on all imports.
Whether it is pharmaceuticals, textiles, technology or engineering products.
Kamala Harris estimated that because of these tariffs,
American consumers may have to spend an extra $4,000 every year.
I won't comment on what's better for the American public,
but in her plans, Kamala Harris had mentioned that
she will use deficits to spend more on
housing, healthcare support, childcare, and education.
Kamala Harris had also talked about increasing taxes
on multi-billion dollar companies.
She planned to increase taxes from 21% to 28%.
And Donald Trump's promise was the complete opposite.
He actually wants to reduce corporate tax
from 21% to 15%.
"I'm not raising your taxes,
I'm raising all of these countries
in Asia and all over the world."
But the biggest downside of Donald Trump's presidency for the entire world
would be the fight against climate change.
During the last Trump administration,
America was the only country to leave the Paris Agreement.
He had also loosened the emission and
pollution standards for coal-fired power plants.
This time, Donald Trump has talked about removing
the red tape around oil and natural gas projects.
He has talked about exiting the Paris Climate Deal again.
On the other hand, Kamala Harris had supported
the Progressive Green New Deal in 2019,
it is a climate change mitigation framework.
It aimed to shift the American energy grid to renewable sources
like wind, solar, and hydroelectricity in 10 years.
It's a different story when Kamala Harris's hypocrisy was later revealed
when she withdrew her claim to ban fracking.
At one point, she talked about prosecuting oil companies that cause pollution.
But then, she was also seen praising record oil production in America.
That's why it is difficult to predict
which presidential candidate could prove to be
more harmful to the planet and the environment.
But one thing is clear,
if Donald Trump's attitude continues,
then the brunt of the pollution and carbon emissions damage caused by America
will be borne by the entire world.
What do you think?
How will Donald Trump impact the world over the next 4 years?
Let us know in the comments below.
Perhaps, the biggest downside of the American political system is that
it has become a duopoly.
These two political parties have such a strong grip over the nation,
that it is next to impossible for a third party to come forward.
In my opinion, this is very undemocratic.
I hope this was an informative video for you as always,
if you liked this, click here to watch the video on Donald Trump's case.
What was the crime Donald Trump was convicted for?
Thank you very much!
Video #676
Resources by Dhruv Rathee
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Statement
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Source
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Link to Source
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Trump won big time,
and the Republican Party is also winning the majority
in both houses.
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Indian Express 8th November 2024
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https://indianexpress.com/article/news- today/republicans-widen-senate- majority-on-track-to-win-house-9659943/
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Donald Trump Becomes First Republican To Win Popular Vote In 20 Years
|
Ndtv World
6th November 2024
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https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/2024- us-elections-donald-trump-set-to-
become-first-republican-to-win-popular- vote-in-20-years-6955598
|
|
Majority of Americans
voted for Trump
than Kamala Harris
|
USA Today
6th November 2024
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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/ politics/elections/2024/11/06/2024-
popular-vote-results/76088881007/
|
|
2016 elections, Hillary Clinton won the popular
vote, but Donald Trump
became the president.
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Hindustan Times 1st November 2024
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https://hindustantimes.com/world-news/ electoral-college-explained-how-donald- trump-won-2016-despite-less-popular- votes-than-hillary-
clinton-101730448166796.html
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Hilary Clinton got 28
Lakh more
votes than Trump
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Hilary Clinton got 28 Lakh
more votes than Trump
|
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ news/international/global-trends/donald-
trump-very-narrow-favourite-both- presidents-will-favour-close-ties-with- india-political-scientist-ian-bremmer-on- us-polls/articleshow/114971046.cms? from=mdr
|
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Vote share of
Hilary 48.2% and Donal
46.1% Trump
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CNN
22nd December 2016
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https://edition.cnn.com/2016/12/21/ politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton- popular-vote-final-count/index.html
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Every four years, Americans vote for the President, Senators, and Representatives on the first Tuesday of November.
|
White house.Gov
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https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the- white-house/our-government/elections- and-voting/
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जैसे इस साल, 34 Senators
का चुनाव होना था।
|
Abc News
6th November 2024
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https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024- house-senate-election-results-maps/ story?id=115485899
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House
of Representatives यहां Members का चुनाव हर दो
साल में होता है, और कुल 435 seats होती हैं। हर state को उसकी आबादी के आधार पर
अलग-अलग seats िमलती हैं।
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Britannica
16th September 2024
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https://www.britannica.com/topic/ United-States-House-of-Representatives- Seats-by-State-1787120
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चुनाव से पहले, Democrats के पास
Senate में 51-49 की
functional majority थी। लेिकन
इस समय Republicans ने
दो seats Democrats से छीनकर Senate का control भी अपने हाथ में ले िलया है। कम से कम 51 seats सुरिक्षत कर ली हैं।
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Bloomberg Government 6th
November 2024
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https://about.bgov.com/insights/ congress/balance-of-power-a-partisan- convergence-in-the-senate/#current
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Senate में majority हािसल करना िकसी भी political
party के िलए बहुत महत्वपूणर् होता है, क्योंिक Senate के पास federal judges
और यहां तक
िक Supreme Court Justices को
appoint करने
की
powers होती है। Senate
bills को
पास करने में भी
जानबूझ कर देरी करवा सकता है
|
White house.Gov
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https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the- white-house/our-government/the- judicial-branch/
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Woman’s Aborstion right in America 2022
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NPR
24th 2022
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https://www.npr.org/ 2022/06/24/1102305878/supreme-
court-abortion-roe-v-wade-decision- overturn
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और िकसी कानून को बनाने के
िलए यह ज़रूरी है िक िबल को House और Senate दोनों से पास करवाया जाये।
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norton.house.gov
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https://norton.house.gov/how-a-bill- becomes-a-law
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लेिकन यहां एक twist भी
है। अमेिरकी सीधे-सीधे President को वोट नहीं करते, बिल्क एक “electors” की body के जिरए करते हैं िजसे Electoral
College कहते हैं।
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The Indian Express 6th November 2024
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https://indianexpress.com/article/what- is/what-is-electoral-college-how-us-use- elect-presidents-9655568/
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भले ही ballot पर President और उसके
VP candidate के
नाम िदखते
हैं, असल में लोग
उन electors को वोट दे रहे होते हैं जो पाटीर् के वफादार होते है।
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National archives.gov
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https://www.archives.gov/electoral- college/electors
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1988 के चुनाव
से लेकर अब तक, 20 states और
Washington, DC हर presidential
election में एक ही पाटीर् को vote देते आए हैं।
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USA facts.org 15th October 2024
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https://usafacts.org/articles/how-red- or-blue-is-your-state/
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2020 में, सात states तीन प्रितशत से कम margin के
अंतर से जीते गए थे। इन states में Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania,
Wisconsin, North Carolina और Nevada
शािमल हैं।
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USA facts.org 7th August 2024
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https://usafacts.org/articles/what-are-the- current-swing-states-and-how-have-they-
changed-over-time/
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चुनाव से
एक
िदन पहले Trump को swing states में 1.8% के
अंतर से Harris पर बढ़त बनाते हुए देखा गया था।
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NDTV World
4th November 2024
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https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/us- election-2024-donald-trump-leads- kamala-harris-in-all-swing-
states-6938403
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October में आए एक
Reuters poll में िदखा िक Harris की पूरे देश में बढ़त के वल 1% रह गई थी।
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Reuters
30th October 2024
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https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris- lead-over-trump-dwindles-single-
point-44-43-reutersipsos-poll- finds-2024-10-29/
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Trump Wins all 7 Swing
states
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Hindustan Times 06th November 2024
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https://www.hindustantimes.com/world- news/us-elections-how-7-swing-states-
ensured-donald-trumps-return-to-white- house-101730882273173.html
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In Mid December all the electors
will vote for President
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Times of India 6th November 2024
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https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ world/us/why-does-the-us-vote-in-
november-but-the-new-president-starts- in-january/articleshow/115019371.cms
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20th January 2025 Donald Trump will
be the President
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USA Today
6th November 2024
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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/ politics/elections/2024/11/06/donald- trump-inauguration-
day-2025/76089931007/
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अगर आपको 06 जनवरी, 2021 की तारीक याद हो—ये वो िदन था जब Congress के द्वारा votes की counting हो रही थी, और इसी दौरान करीब
2,000-2,500 Trump
supporters ने
Capitol building पर हमला कर िदया था।
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BBC
19th December 2022
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https://www.bbc.com/news/ world-60265900
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Trump इस िदन को “day of love” कह कर बुलाते है।
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BBC
17th October 2024
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https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ ckgnxej1dn0o
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Donald Trump Guilty
for 34 Felony Counts
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The New York Times 30th May 2024
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https://www.nytimes.com/live/ 2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-trial-verdict
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Judge delays Donald Trump's sentencing in hush money case until after November election
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The Hindu
7th November 2024
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https://www.thehindu.com/news/ international/judge-delays-donald-
trumps-sentencing-in-hush-money-case- until-after-november-election/ article68615220.ece
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Trump is scheduled to appear in a New York courtroom on November
26
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CNN
6th November 2024
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https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/06/ politics/what-happens-to-trump-criminal- cases/index.html
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िदलचस्प बात यह है िक इस बार दोनों campaigns का एक India connect
है—Kamala
Harris की मां तिमलनाडु से थीं,
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Hindustan Times 5th November 2024
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https://www.hindustantimes.com/india- news/watch-kamala-harris-native-village- in-tamil-nadu-holds-prayers-for-her-
success-in-us-president-
election-2024-101730770961168.html
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Trump के Vice Presidential nominee J D Vance की पत्नी Usha Vance
का पिरवार आंध्र प्रदेश से है।
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NDTV World
6th November 2024
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https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/us- election-results-2024-who-is-usha- vance-1st-indian-origin-woman-set-to- become-second-lady-of-us-6957638
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िपछले साल में िसफर् भारत से ही अमेिरका ने लगभग 1,100 illegal immigrants को वापस भेजा है।
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Economic Times 30th October 2024
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https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ nri/latest-updates/about-1100-indian-
nationals-repatriated-from-us-in-12- months-dhs-official/articleshow/ 114743285.cms?from=mdr
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उनकी administration ने
visa denials की दर बढ़ाई,
application costs में वृिद्ध की, और पूरी visa process को और complicated बना िदया।
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Business Standard 23rd October 2024
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https://www.business-standard.com/ finance/personal-finance/how-would-us- immigration-policy-impact-you-if-trump- is-re-elected-
in-2024-124110400084_1.html
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Trump
ने H-1B
को American prosterity के
िलए एक "theft" भी कहा है।
|
The New York Times 18th
April 2017
|
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/18/ us/politics/executive-order-hire-buy- american-h1b-visa-trump.html#
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Kamala Harris legal immigration को simplify करने और family
reunification के िलए reforms लाने की कोिशश
कर रही थी, जबिक Trump legal immigration
levels को कम करने और family-based immigration को सीिमत करने
का समथर्न करते हैं।
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Business Standard 4th November 2024
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https://www.business-standard.com/ finance/personal-finance/how-would-us- immigration-policy-impact-you-if-trump- is-re-elected-
in-2024-124110400084_1.html
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उन्होंने खुले तौर पर भारत से Harley Davidson bikes पर
tariffs कम करने के िलए कहा
था।
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Livemint 11th June 2019
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https://www.livemint.com/news/india/50- import-tariff-on-harley-davidson- unacceptable-india-should-remove-it- trump-1560226596098.html
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लेिकन Biden शासन के दौरान India
और America के
बीच bilateral trade में काफी वृिद्ध
हुई है, और
वो
भी भारत के पक्ष में।
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The Hindu 16th April 2023
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https://www.thehindu.com/business/ Economy/us-emerges-as-indias-biggest- trading-partner-in-fy23-at-12855-billion- china-at-second-position/
article66743587.ece
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FY2020 से FY2024 के बीच, अमेिरका को भारत के merchandise
exports 46% बढ़कर $77.5
billion तक पहुंच गए, जबिक imports 17.9% बढ़कर $42.2 billion
तक पहुंच गए।
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Money Control 6th November 2024
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https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/ business/trump-versus-harris-india- stares-at-tariff-wars-as-america-elects-a-
new-president-12858714.html
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िपछले तीन सालों में
trade deficit भारत के पक्ष में $13.3 billion से
बढ़कर $25.9 billion हो गया है
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Money Control 6th November 2024
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https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/ business/trump-versus-harris-india- stares-at-tariff-wars-as-america-elects-a-
new-president-12858714.html
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इन tariffs की वजह से भारत
के इन दोनों सेक्टसर् को काỢी
नुकसान हुआ, िजसमें steel sector को
लगभग $240 million का घाटा हुआ। इस tariff
dispute को Biden administration के
तहत जून 2023 में सुलझाया
गया, जब
अमेिरका ने Trump शासन के लगाए गए steel tariffs में से 70% और aluminium tariffs में से 80% को हटाने पर सहमित जताई।
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Money Control 6th November 2024
|
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/ business/trump-versus-harris-india- stares-at-tariff-wars-as-america-elects-a-
new-president-12858714.html
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िफर भी, 2024
के अपने campaign में, Trump ने सभी imports
पर 20%
tariff लगाने का प्रस्ताव रखा है—
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S&P Global
1st November 2024
|
https://www.spglobal.com/ commodityinsights/en/market-insights/
latest-news/oil/110124-us-elections-oil- biofuel-industries-weigh-uncertain- impact-of-trump-tariffs
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For that reason, Vice President Kamala Harris
has called Trump’s tariff proposals “a sales tax on
the American people” that she says would
raise costs for households by
$4,000 each year.
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NBC
22nd October 2024
|
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/ economy/tariffs-economists-dont- rcna176164
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Kamala Harris के plans से उनका deficit करीब $3.5 trillion तक बढ़ सकता था।
|
Reuters
8th October 2024de
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https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ trumps-tax-spending-plans-would-add- twice-much-debt-harris-budget-group- says-2024-10-07/
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यह
deficit housing और health care
support, Medicare, child care और
education spending
|
US Budget watch 28th October 2024
|
https://www.crfb.org/papers/fiscal- impact-harris-and-trump-campaign-plans
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Kamal to increase corporate Tax from 21% to
28%
|
Reuters
20th August 2024
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https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris- calls-raising-us-corporate-tax-rate-28- percent-2024-08-19/
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Trump wants to reducer
Corporate Tax from 21% to
15%
|
Business Standard 8th November 2024
|
https://www.business-standard.com/ finance/personal-finance/trump-s-2024- win-what-it-means-for-indian-it-real- estate-pharma-
trade-124110800229_1.html
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America withdraws from Paris agreement
|
BBC
4th November 2020
|
https://www.bbc.com/news/science- environment-54797743
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A Trump presidency would cut past the red tape
|
New York Post 30th October 2024
|
https://nypost.com/2024/10/30/opinion/ a-trump-presidency-would-cut-past-the- red-tape-and-unleash-an-age-of-us-
innovation/
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Kamala Harris ने 2019
में progressive
Green New Deal का समथर्न िकया था, जो एक climate change
mitigation framework है। इसका लक्ष्य अगले
दस साल में US energy grid को पूरी तरह से renewable sources जैसे wind, solar और hydro पर
shift करना है।
|
ABC news 22nd
July 2024
|
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/kamala- harris-stands-green-new-deal-climate- initiatives/story?id=112152079
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हालांिक, उन्होंने fracking पर बैन लगाने का अपना दावा वापस ले िलया है, और उनके actions उनके शब्दों से मेल नहीं खाते। एक
समय वह pollution
फै लाने
वाली oil companies को “prosecute” करने की बात कर रही थीं, लेिकन िफर
America में
िरकॉडर् oil production की तारीỢ करते हुए
भी नजर आईं। यह काफी hypocritical
और non-
committal behavior है।
|
Time
11th September 2024
|
https://time.com/7019873/harris-debate- fracking-ban/
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